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Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. (FCPT)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2024 was steady and clean: AFFO per diluted share rose 2.4% YoY to $0.43; rental revenue grew 10.8% YoY to $58.5M; total revenue was $66.5M; rent collections were 99.8% and occupancy 99.6% .
- External growth remained disciplined but accretive: FCPT acquired 17 properties for $45.5M at a 7.2% cash yield (roughly 30 bps better than last quarter); management expects to “add to the pipeline in a meaningful way in the second half” while maintaining quality thresholds .
- Balance sheet is conservative and flexible: $240M liquidity (cash $17M + $223M undrawn revolver), net debt/Adj EBITDAre 5.7x, no maturities until Nov 2025; fixed charge coverage 4.3x .
- Credit watch: Management reiterated confidence in Red Lobster exposure (18 stores) through its restructuring—expects “very minimal or no disruption from a rent perspective” and all sites to remain open; portfolio franchise exposure remains small and specific Pizza Hut franchisee issues are contained and current on rent .
- Near-term catalyst: If equity multiples and debt costs remain favorable, FCPT intends to lean into higher-yielding (>7%) acquisition opportunities without sacrificing credit/real estate quality—potential for accelerated accretive deployment in 2H .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Durable internal/portfolio performance: 99.8% rent collections; 99.6% occupancy; run-rate ABR $223.6M; WALT ~7.4 years .
- High-quality, accretive acquisitions: 17 assets at 7.2% initial cash yield; management: “we will continue to look to add to the pipeline in a meaningful way in the second half of the year while maintaining our quality standards” .
- Leasing/retention: Of 2024 expirations, ~95% renewed or swapped; minimal near-term lease roll (0.7% of ABR in 2024, ~2% in 2025) .
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What Went Wrong
- Higher operating and interest costs: G&A rose to $6.0M (vs $5.6M YoY) and interest expense to $12.3M (vs $10.1M YoY), modestly damping earnings leverage despite rent growth .
- Mixed tenant comps backdrop: Darden same-store sales were +4% at LongHorn but -1.5% at Olive Garden for its latest quarter; industry casual dining trends remained slightly soft off strong comps, albeit with improving margins .
- External market friction persists: Although narrowing, bid-ask remains in parts of net lease; some sellers previously held out for lower cap rates; FCPT stayed patient to protect per-share accretion .
Financial Results
YoY comparison – Q2 2024 vs Q2 2023
Sequential comparison – Q2 2024 vs Q1 2024
Segment revenue breakdown
Key KPIs and balance sheet
Estimates vs. Actuals (S&P Global)
- S&P Global consensus EPS/Revenue/FFO/AFFO estimates were unavailable at the time of analysis due to API limits; therefore, we cannot present vs. estimates this quarter [GetEstimates error].
Guidance Changes
Management does not issue acquisition volume or earnings guidance; strategy remains to deploy only when accretive to per-share metrics .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We reported second quarter AFFO of $0.43 per share… Our existing portfolio continues to perform very well with higher rent collections and occupancy.”
- “We will continue to look to add to the pipeline in a meaningful way in the second half of the year while maintaining our quality standards.”
- Red Lobster: “We expect all of our Red Lobster locations to remain open [with] very minimal or no disruption from a rent perspective.”
- Portfolio metrics: “We collected 99.8% of base rent… cash G&A was $4.3M (7.4% of cash rental income)… net debt to adjusted EBITDAre was 5.7x… $240M of liquidity.”
- Discipline/value: “Increasingly, we are finding attractive opportunities over a 7% cap rate with quality tenants and real estate.”
Q&A Highlights
- Red Lobster closures: None of FCPT’s stores were on recent closure lists; discussions are “productive” and stores are performing .
- Pizza Hut franchisee (EYM) bankruptcy: FCPT has “a couple of stores,” they are paying, and a personal guarantee supports the leases .
- Cap rates outlook: Cap rates lifted with a lag and remain in low 7s for quality; uncertainty persists, focus is on high-grading pipeline .
- Capital deployment cadence: Improved cost of capital and greater seller willingness should support more activity in 2H .
- Portfolio execution: ~75 bps portfolio discount evidenced in Mavis sale-leaseback; more value in established buyers amid market uncertainty .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates (S&P Global) for Q2 2024 EPS/Revenue/FFO/AFFO were unavailable at the time of analysis due to data access limits. As a result, we cannot characterize beats/misses this quarter relative to S&P consensus [GetEstimates error].
- Given stable internal metrics and higher-yielding acquisitions, sell-side AFFO estimates may drift modestly higher if management accelerates deployment in 2H and maintains 7%+ cap rates without incremental leverage .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Defensive quarter: Strong collections and occupancy, incremental YoY AFFO/share growth, and no change to dividend underscore portfolio durability .
- External growth runway: With cost of capital improving and cap rates ≥7%, FCPT is positioned to step up accretive acquisitions in Auto Service/Medical Retail and select restaurant assets in 2H .
- Credit risk contained: Red Lobster outlook improved; franchisee issues (e.g., Pizza Hut EYM) are small and secured by guarantees; portfolio composition remains heavily corporate/investment-grade .
- Balance sheet optionality: 5.7x net debt/Adj EBITDAre, 4.3x FCCR, $240M liquidity, and no maturities until Nov 2025 provide nimbleness without equity dependence .
- Leasing momentum intact: 95% renewal/swap on 2024 maturities and minimal near-term lease roll lower cash flow risk into 2025 .
- Focus for near-term trading: Watch acquisition announcements and cap rates; evidence of higher deployment at similar yields should be AFFO-accretive and a potential stock catalyst .
- Medium-term thesis: Data-driven underwriting, disciplined capital allocation, and continued diversification beyond restaurants support steady per-share growth and defensive dividends through cycles .
Sources:
- Q2 2024 8-K and Exhibits (press release, financials, supplemental, investor presentation) .
- Q2 2024 press release (standalone) .
- Q2 2024 earnings call transcript –.
- Q1 2024 8-K and Exhibits (press release, supplemental, investor presentation) –.
- Q1 2024 and Q4 2023 earnings call transcripts – –.
- Dividend declaration PR (Q2) .
- Q2 2024-period acquisitions PRs (e.g., MercyOne, Taco Bell) .
Estimates note: S&P Global consensus data were unavailable at the time of analysis due to API limits; thus, no vs-consensus table is provided this quarter.